Ukraine’s Economic Growth Forecast for 2025 Adjusted to 2%

Chas Pravdy - 25 September 2025 15:30

Ukraine’s Ministry of Economy has revised its earlier projections regarding the country’s economic growth for the current year.

According to the updated figures, the expected increase in real gross domestic product (GDP) for 2025 will be limited to 2%, representing a decrease from the previous forecast of 2.7%.

These estimates were announced by the Minister of Economy, Environment, and Agriculture, Oleksii Soboliev, who emphasized that the main drivers of stable growth remain critical sectors such as manufacturing, industry, energy, and agriculture.

The Minister also shared that this macroeconomic outlook was presented following meetings in New York with key public-market investors, including representatives from firms like Balyasny, Lazard, JPMorgan, PIMCO, Vanguard, and HSBC.

In his speech, Soboliev detailed Ukraine’s macroeconomic situation and discussed strategies for attracting foreign investments into strategic sectors, highlighting the role of the US-Ukraine Investment Recovery Fund, which has already received an initial capital infusion of $150 million from the Development Finance Corporation and the Ukrainian government.

This move opens new avenues for investors and contributes to further economic development.

Additionally, analysts note that the growth rate of Ukraine’s GDP in the second quarter of 2025 has slowed down, showing an increase of just 0.8% compared to the same period last year, indicating a gradual deceleration driven by global challenges and internal constraints such as limited access to credit resources and structural reforms.

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