Trump’s Chances to Dodge a Diplomatic Crisis During Putiin Meeting: FT Analysis
Analysts and political commentators suggest that former U.S.
President Donald Trump still has a relatively slim chance of avoiding a dangerous diplomatic provocation or even a new crisis during his upcoming meeting with Vladimir Putin.
While many experts voice concerns over potential negative scenarios, the responsibility for maintaining stability in US-Russia relations lies with the leaders themselves.
It is especially crucial that Trump does not repeat past mistakes, does not capitulate to Russian policies, and refrains from officially recognizing any occupation actions by Moscow regarding Ukrainian territories.
Foreign policy sources emphasize that Ukraine’s sovereignty and international law should be the sole basis for any discussions, with territorial disputes resolved only in dialogue with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky.
The anticipated meeting may revive long-standing contentious issues—such as border exchanges or freezing conflicts—that clash with Ukraine’s interests and European security.
Experts warn that concessions should only be made without legitimizing Russia’s occupation or redrawing borders without a referendum or constitutional reforms.
Trump still has a chance to prevent an even broader crisis by adopting a tougher stance and clearly stating that questions of Ukraine’s territorial integrity will not be discussed without Kyiv’s involvement.
It is vital that the US and its European allies stress that any compromise that accepts a frozen conflict or territorial concessions could undermine regional stability and embolden Kremlin’s expansionist ambitions.
Maintaining this position, the US must keep open discussions on issues like the future of occupied territories, Ukrainian military strength, and security guarantees.
Ultimately, a final resolution to the Ukraine conflict may not be feasible, but preserving Ukraine’s independence and preventing further aggression remain key priorities for Trump and the global community.
This approach will help avoid larger humanitarian and security catastrophes and leave a positive legacy.
During negotiations, Trump should emphasize that continued pressure on Russia, economic sanctions, and support for Ukraine must remain core strategies, and concessions without guarantees or consideration of Ukraine’s interests could lead to disastrous consequences for Kyiv and global security.