THE ONLY ATTEMPT BY THE UAF TO ACHIEVE SUCCESS ON THE FRONT WAS ON THE LYMAN DIRECTION
According to the latest data from the American Institute for the Study of War (ISW), Ukrainian defenders have made the only tangible attempt to advance on the northern front in the Donetsk region. According to their report, Ukrainian units probably carried out several successful counterattacks in the area of the Lyman direction, which was the only example of such activity in recent times. The analysis of the situation is based on information received from Russian military bloggers and official sources, in particular from publications dated June 26 and 27. It was during this period, according to the bloggers, that Ukrainian troops allegedly advanced on the northern outskirts of Ridkodub, regaining control over some positions. These reports coincide with the ISW analysis, which concludes that the Ukrainian counteroffensive in the Lyman direction is likely to intensify, which has been going on for several weeks, but without significant success on either side. Meanwhile, Russian troops remain active in the Lyman area, conducting constant attacks. According to the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, on June 26 and 27, the enemy carried out seventeen offensive actions in the direction of this area. This concerned the settlements of Lypove, Shyykivka, Novoserhiivka, Ridkodub, Torske and surrounding areas, as well as in the directions of Gluschenkove, Grekivka, Shandryholovy and Novy Mir. The enemy’s efforts have included attempts to advance at several key strategic points — the outcome of this activity remains uncertain, but the Ukrainian military is holding its defenses and improving its positions. Earlier, information appeared in open sources that Russia had concentrated significant forces in the Pokrov direction, where, according to Ukrainian and world analysts, about 111 thousand Russian military personnel had gathered. This confirmation of the number of personnel indicates the seriousness of the plans and the potential increase in combat activity in this region, but for now the situation remains tense and uncertain. So, at the moment, the only polytrope for the Ukrainian troops remains individual successes in the estuary zone - so far local and weak, but valuable for maintaining fighting spirit and strategic goals. At the same time, the situation on the northern borders remains tense, with constant fighting and attempts to advance on both sides. It can be expected that the further dynamics of the front will be determined not only by military actions, but also by external support and internal mobilization of forces in the region.