Media reports: the German Armed Forces have identified Russia as an immediate and serious existential threat to the security of the Alliance

Chas Pravdy - 20 June 2025 18:13

In an internal strategic document developed by the German military authorities, the scale and nature of the danger posed by Russia to Germany and all of continental Europe are clearly outlined. According to information published in the print version of the reputable magazine Spiegel and referenced by the German news agency DPA, this document lays the foundation for shaping future policy and the development of Germany’s armed forces. The source also reports that this strategic analysis is the result of over a year and a half of work by security and defense experts who thoroughly studied the current state of Russian military capabilities and intentions. In their conclusion, the German military warns that Moscow is deliberately orienting its entire state and economic model towards potential large-scale conflict with NATO. According to the authors, the Kremlin systematically mobilizes both military and industrial resources to be ready for open warfare with the world’s largest military alliance in the shortest possible time. The document indicates that by 2026, the number of Russian soldiers could reach 1.5 million, reflecting rapid modernization and buildup of military resources. A particularly alarming aspect is that German experts tend to believe that Russia is not hiding its intentions but is instead deliberately investing resources into creating a powerful military machine for a possible large-scale conflict with NATO. In their view, this is not merely military transformation but a strategic step within a systemic crisis that could escalate into open conflict within the next few years. It is important to note that assessments by the Federal Intelligence Service (BND) and the German armed forces’ command confirm such dangerous dynamics. They unanimously state that Russia sees itself in a systemic conflict with the West and is actively preparing for possible large-scale confrontation with NATO. Internal evaluations by experts, including within the walls of the German Bundestag — the federal parliament — suggest that Russia might attack NATO member countries within 2-3 years, which raises particular concern among the international community. In response to such a situation, German military and strategic experts are calling for a radical strengthening of the country’s defense capabilities. The document emphasizes the need for significant deployment of both military forces and civilian infrastructural structures capable of ensuring national security and aiding in the protection of the entire alliance. This includes modernizing armaments, developing new defensive strategies, and strengthening interstate cooperation within NATO. Ultimately, the strategic document by the German military sends a serious signal to European partners and allies — it is time to reorient security policies, bolster military forces, and prepare for possible crises. Notably, the conclusions highlight that Russia does not conceal its intentions, and its mobilization processes indicate that the Kremlin is deliberately preparing for escalation, pursuing the specific goal of altering the geopolitical balance of power in Europe and challenging the principles of security and stability established after World War II.

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