According to information from authoritative sources, the situation surrounding the Ukraine-Russia conflict is gaining new momentum in the context of the political intentions of Berlin and Washington strategists
European and Ukrainian officials express concern that U.S. President Donald Trump may exploit the situation to justify his withdrawal from the peace negotiations process. Based on investigative reports published by the Financial Times and picked up by Europäische Wahrheit, there are fears that Trump, aiming to preserve his political influence, could use even the slightest progress in negotiations as a pretext to end the diplomatic process. Four anonymous sources from diplomatic circles or hierarchies closer to the U.S. administration report that Washington is beginning to consider the possibility of withdrawing from the peace agreement framework to avoid becoming hostage to prolonged negotiations and the rising negative rhetoric, especially ahead of the 100th anniversary of Trump's second presidency. One senior European official noted that Trump is creating a situation in which he will be able to justify his departure from the Ukraine-Russia dialogue, citing purported lack of progress or the absence of genuine efforts from both sides. A significant factor has been the Kremlin’s unwillingness to compromise, particularly regarding the preservation of an active Ukrainian armed forces after the end of the active phase of the war, along with other key issues. This has led to a reassessment by Trump of potential agreements. Interlocutors from the Financial Times point out that the current diplomatic initiative by the U.S. administration, widely seen as an attempt to “fit into a timeline” of dialogue policy, is actually transient and most likely will not lead to stable implementation. There are also discussions within European circles about the possibility of Russia agreeing to the American plan, but it is generally considered that there are no guarantees or secured mechanisms for its implementation at present. Conversely, Ukrainian officials tend to express concern that the U.S. may significantly reduce or entirely halt active diplomacy in this area, as Kyiv increasingly focuses on its internal resources and simultaneously accelerates efforts to seek additional military support from European allies. A notable signal was the recent comment by U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio, who emphasized that next week would be decisive for Washington's decision regarding further steps in the geopolitical drama surrounding Ukraine and Russia. Against this backdrop, U.S. President Donald Trump has recently begun sharply criticizing Russia’s missile strikes on Ukrainian cities, as well as expressing doubts about Moscow’s intentions to end the hostile war, threatening new sanctions against Russia. These signals add tension to the diplomatic process and again heighten Kyiv and European countries’ concerns about prospects for peace agreements under current conditions.